HORIZON
12 weeks
84 days - 200 MC sims
Long-term · 1–52 week plan
Ensemble passenger-volume forecast with P50/P80/P95 bands, cascade explainability and structural what-if scenarios.
FORECAST PEAK DAY
136.5k
max P50 in horizon
MEAN WEEK
859k
rolling weekly average
RECRUITMENT GAP
-116 FTE
2026-W31 - net gap at seasonal peak
⌁ Daily passenger forecast · ensemble P5 / P50 / P95 bands
ensemble of SARIMA-like, Prophet-like and Holt-Winters models
140k105k70k35k0k
19 May28 May6 Jun15 Jun24 Jun3 Jul9 Jul17 Jul26 Jul4 Aug
P5 optimisticP50 centralP95 pessimisticP80 bandP5–P95 envelope
Ensemble weights
SARIMA-like
Prophet-like
Trend (Holt-Winters)
1/MAE-normalised weights across SARIMA-like, Prophet-like, and Holt-Winters models. Best model gets the largest share.
Shift counts · Phase-1 MIP
2026-05-27| ROLE | EARLY | MID | AFTERNOON | LATE | NIGHT | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SecurityOfficer | 162 | 145 | 132 | 86 | 34 | 559 |
| CheckinAgent | 218 | 194 | 166 | 98 | 26 | 702 |
| BaggageHandler | 130 | 122 | 128 | 106 | 42 | 528 |
| GateAgent | 102 | 116 | 138 | 92 | 20 | 468 |
| GroundHandler | 74 | 68 | 82 | 60 | 28 | 312 |
| DutyManager | 12 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 50 |
Pax journey · touchpoint flow
Forecast arrivals
Check-in desks
Bag drop
Security
Retail dwell
Gate / boarding
▣ 52-week structural staffing gap · role × week
click a cell for day-of-week × shift detail
ROLEW1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12
Security-12-18-24-31-38-45-52-61-67-72-76-70
Check-in-6-8-12-18-22-28-35-42-48-51-53-49
Baggage42-3-6-8-12-16-21-24-26-25-20
Gate0-4-8-13-18-23-29-35-39-41-43-38
Ground641-2-4-7-9-12-14-16-15-11